Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (11%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 12:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.4%
Model confidence
34.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PotenzaWWDLW
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BariWWDWW
GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
PotenzaBari
33.3Attack33.3
66.7Defence83.3
33.3Form66.7
45.3Power64.8
1.18xG1.18