Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spezia · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 12:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Spezia
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
Spezia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SpeziaWWWWW
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
LivornoWDWLW
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
SpeziaLivorno
100.0Attack50.0
83.3Defence83.3
100.0Form66.7
95.8Power68.0
1.58xG1.03