Plymouth Parkwayvs
Gloucester City
SCHEDULEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/27/2026, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Plymouth Parkway · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (12%), 4-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.33 | 38.8% | 63.2% | 24.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 26.0% | 18.4% | -7.6 pts |
| Away | 2.56 | 35.3% | 18.4% | -16.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–012%
- 2.4–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Plymouth Parkway
Probability
63.2%
Model confidence
63.2%
Plymouth Parkway has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Plymouth ParkwayLWWLW
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Gloucester CityDLDWW
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Plymouth ParkwayGloucester City
85.2Attack44.4
70.4Defence37.0
74.1Form25.9
74.2Power38.6
3.61xG0.71