Chichester Cityvs
Hanworth Villa
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/27/2026, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hanworth Villa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Chichester City 1-2 Hanworth Villa
Original prediction
Hanworth Villa
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.46 | 36.8% | 25.7% | -11.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 26.0% | 23.9% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.44 | 37.1% | 50.4% | 13.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.44 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Hanworth Villa
Probability
50.4%
Model confidence
50.4%
Hanworth Villa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40