Berkhamstedvs
Sholing
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/27/2026, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Berkhamsted · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Berkhamsted 1-1 Sholing
Original prediction
Berkhamsted
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.04 | 44.3% | 36.9% | -7.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 27.0% | 28.8% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 3.15 | 28.7% | 34.3% | 5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.35 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
Berkhamsted
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
Berkhamsted has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60