Pitbulls Santa Barbara FCvs
Cariari Pococi
COMPLETEDCosta-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 9/22/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC 1-0 Cariari Pococi
Original prediction
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.26 | 39.5% | 41.8% | 2.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 27.6% | 28.1% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.70 | 33.0% | 30.1% | -2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.26 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00