Pitbulls Santa Barbara FCvs
Aserri FC
COMPLETEDCosta-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 10/13/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC 2-2 Aserri FC
Original prediction
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 21:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 50.4% | 48.2% | -2.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 26.5% | 27.5% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.87 | 23.1% | 24.3% | 1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.36 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC
Probability
48.2%
Model confidence
48.2%
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20