Pitbulls Santa Barbara FCvs
AD Carmelita
COMPLETEDCosta-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 10/27/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC 2-1 AD Carmelita
Original prediction
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 06:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.07 | 43.1% | 40.0% | -3.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 27.7% | 27.7% | 0.0 pts |
| Away | 3.07 | 29.2% | 32.3% | 3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.07 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC
Probability
40.0%
Model confidence
40.0%
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60