Once Caldasvs
Llaneros
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 10/10/2026, 1:10:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Once Caldas · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Once Caldas 1-0 Llaneros, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Once Caldas 1-0 Llaneros
Original prediction
Once Caldas
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 12:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.52 | 60.9% | 46.1% | -14.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.95 | 23.5% | 28.8% | 5.3 pts |
| Away | 5.96 | 15.6% | 25.1% | 9.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.52 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.9 pts
Projected Score
Once Caldas 1–0 Llaneros
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Once Caldas
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
46.1%
Once Caldas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Once CaldasDLLWL
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
LlanerosLLWLL
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Once CaldasLlaneros
48.5Attack34.4
58.6Defence61.3
47.5Form38.7
53.0Power46.9
1.23xG0.77