Once Caldasvs
Deportivo Pereira
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 10/25/2026, 12:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Once Caldas · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Once Caldas 1-0 Deportivo Pereira, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Once Caldas 1-1 Deportivo Pereira
Original prediction
Once Caldas
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.33 | 69.6% | 58.0% | -11.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.80 | 19.3% | 24.5% | 5.2 pts |
| Away | 8.36 | 11.1% | 17.5% | 6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.80 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.6 pts
Projected Score
Once Caldas 1–0 Deportivo Pereira
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Once Caldas
Probability
58.0%
Model confidence
58.0%
Once Caldas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40