Once Caldasvs
Deportivo Cali
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 9/13/2026, 11:10:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Once Caldas · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Once Caldas 0-0 Deportivo Cali, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Once Caldas 1-2 Deportivo Cali
Original prediction
Once Caldas
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.05 | 45.2% | 41.8% | -3.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 29.2% | 29.5% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.62 | 25.6% | 28.7% | 3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.4 pts
Projected Score
Once Caldas 0–0 Deportivo Cali
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Once Caldas
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Once Caldas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80