Bucaramangavs
Deportivo Pasto
SCHEDULEDColombia · Primera A · 10/31/2026, 1:05:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bucaramanga · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Bucaramanga 1-0 Deportivo Pasto, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 17 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.57 | 59.2% | 59.9% | 0.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.65 | 25.5% | 24.1% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 6.10 | 15.3% | 16.1% | 0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Projected Score
Bucaramanga 1–0 Deportivo Pasto
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Bucaramanga
Probability
59.9%
Model confidence
59.9%
Bucaramanga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BucaramangaDWWWD
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Deportivo PastoDLWWL
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
BucaramangaDeportivo Pasto
50.5Attack38.4
66.7Defence53.5
50.5Form43.4
56.2Power47.7
1.54xG0.68