Once Caldasvs
Deportes Tolima
SCHEDULEDColombia · Primera A · 8/28/2026, 1:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Once Caldas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Once Caldas are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Deportes Tolima are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportes Tolima hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (56.7 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.7% in the Primera A, while Once Caldas holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Once Caldas
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
14.7%
Once Caldas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60