GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 8/28/2026, 1:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Once Caldas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Once Caldas are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Deportes Tolima are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportes Tolima hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (56.7 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.7% in the Primera A, while Once Caldas holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Once Caldas

Probability

36.6%

Model confidence

14.7%

Once Caldas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Once CaldasDLDWW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Deportes TolimaWLWLW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Once CaldasDeportes Tolima
54.7Attack48.1
60.0Defence66.7
52.0Form56.8
56.7Power58.8
1.16xG1.06
View match centre →