Once Caldasvs
Bucaramanga
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 9/26/2026, 1:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Once Caldas · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Once Caldas 1-3 Bucaramanga
Original prediction
Once Caldas
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.92 | 48.3% | 38.1% | -10.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 28.6% | 30.5% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 4.01 | 23.1% | 31.4% | 8.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Once Caldas
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Once Caldas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80