Municipal GreciavsAserri FC

Municipal Grecia are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Aserri FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Municipal Grecia hold a 17.4-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.1% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Municipal Grecia holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.