Municipal Greciavs
Aserri FC
COMPLETEDCosta-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 10/12/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Municipal Grecia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Municipal Grecia 0-0 Aserri FC, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Municipal Grecia 2-2 Aserri FC
Original prediction
Municipal Grecia
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 21:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.93 | 46.3% | 42.0% | -4.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.31 | 27.0% | 30.6% | 3.6 pts |
| Away | 3.35 | 26.7% | 27.4% | 0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.31 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.3 pts
Projected Score
Municipal Grecia 0–0 Aserri FC
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Municipal Grecia
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
Municipal Grecia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00