Municipal Greciavs
AD Cofutpa
COMPLETEDCosta-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 10/25/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Municipal Grecia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Municipal Grecia 1-0 AD Cofutpa, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Municipal Grecia 2-1 AD Cofutpa
Original prediction
Municipal Grecia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 06:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.46 | 61.3% | 53.3% | -8.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.94 | 22.7% | 26.8% | 4.1 pts |
| Away | 5.57 | 16.0% | 20.0% | 4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.46 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.0 pts
Projected Score
Municipal Grecia 1–0 AD Cofutpa
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Municipal Grecia
Probability
53.3%
Model confidence
53.3%
Municipal Grecia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60