Millonariosvs
Chico
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 9/19/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Millonarios · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Millonarios 2-0 Chico, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Millonarios 3-0 Chico
Original prediction
Millonarios
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.25 | 74.5% | 73.9% | -0.6 pts |
| Draw | 5.42 | 17.1% | 17.8% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 11.04 | 8.4% | 8.3% | -0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.5 pts
Projected Score
Millonarios 2–0 Chico
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Millonarios
Probability
73.9%
Model confidence
73.9%
Millonarios has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MillonariosWDDLD
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
ChicoLWWDD
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MillonariosChico
49.4Attack27.2
64.4Defence42.0
48.3Form30.9
54.9Power34.7
1.94xG0.50