Manchester Cityvs
Brighton
SCHEDULEDEngland · League Cup · 10/28/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Manchester City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Manchester City
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Manchester City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Manchester CityWWWWW
GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
BrightonWWWDL
GF 15 · GA 7 · avg 3.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Manchester CityBrighton
100.0Attack100.0
100.0Defence33.3
100.0Form100.0
97.0Power80.3
1.83xG1.34