Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Liverpool · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Liverpool
Probability
39.2%
Model confidence
39.2%
Liverpool has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LiverpoolWWDWW
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ChelseaLDWLW
GF 13 · GA 13 · avg 2.60/2.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
LiverpoolChelsea
100.0Attack100.0
66.7Defence50.0
100.0Form100.0
88.7Power86.5
1.72xG1.48