Bournemouthvs
Aston Villa
SCHEDULEDEngland · League Cup · 10/28/2026, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bournemouth · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Bournemouth
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Bournemouth has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BournemouthLWDWD
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Aston VillaWWWLW
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
BournemouthAston Villa
100.0Attack100.0
100.0Defence66.7
100.0Form100.0
97.0Power88.7
1.68xG1.36