Llanerosvs
Deportes Tolima
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 9/7/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportes Tolima · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Llaneros 0-0 Deportes Tolima, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Llaneros 1-2 Deportes Tolima
Original prediction
Deportes Tolima
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.69 | 34.4% | 27.4% | -7.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.06 | 30.3% | 31.8% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.63 | 35.3% | 40.8% | 5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.63 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.5 pts
Projected Score
Llaneros 0–0 Deportes Tolima
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Deportes Tolima
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Deportes Tolima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20