Llanerosvs
Atletico Nacional
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 9/21/2026, 1:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Nacional · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Llaneros 0-1 Atletico Nacional, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Llaneros 2-0 Atletico Nacional
Original prediction
Atletico Nacional
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.26 | 21.8% | 15.1% | -6.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 26.5% | 24.0% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 1.80 | 51.7% | 60.9% | 9.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.2 pts
Projected Score
Llaneros 0–1 Atletico Nacional
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Atletico Nacional
Probability
60.9%
Model confidence
60.9%
Atletico Nacional has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80