Leyton Orientvs
Bradford
COMPLETEDEngland · League Cup · 9/8/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Leyton Orient · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Leyton Orient 1-3 Bradford
Original prediction
Leyton Orient
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.10 | 30.1% | 36.6% | 6.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.34 | 28.0% | 28.4% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.24 | 41.9% | 35.0% | -6.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Leyton Orient
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
36.6%
Leyton Orient has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80