Kataller Toyamavs
Urawa
COMPLETEDJapan · J-League Cup · 9/29/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Urawa · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Kataller Toyama 0-0 Urawa, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Kataller Toyama 2-3 Urawa
Original prediction
Urawa
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.89 | 23.3% | 31.9% | 8.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.68 | 24.6% | 30.3% | 5.6 pts |
| Away | 1.74 | 52.1% | 37.8% | -14.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.74 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.3 pts
Projected Score
Kataller Toyama 0–0 Urawa
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Urawa
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Urawa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Kataller ToyamaDWDWW
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
UrawaWLWWW
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Kataller ToyamaUrawa
66.7Attack36.4
66.7Defence78.8
100.0Form51.5
80.3Power57.1
0.94xG0.86