Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Junior · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Junior are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Santa Fe are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 55.9 against 55.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.8% in the Primera A, while Junior holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Junior
Probability
35.1%
Model confidence
14.8%
Junior has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80