Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Junior · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 2-0 (14%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Junior 3-3 Jaguares
Original prediction
Junior
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.37 | 67.8% | 66.2% | -1.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.39 | 21.1% | 21.0% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 8.35 | 11.1% | 12.8% | 1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.39 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.2–014%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Junior
Probability
66.2%
Model confidence
66.2%
Junior has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
JuniorDLDLD
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
JaguaresDWDLL
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
JuniorJaguares
47.8Attack32.0
58.9Defence44.0
51.1Form30.7
53.9Power38.0
1.80xG0.69