GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 10/10/2026, 11:10:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Junior · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Junior 2-2 Internacional de Bogota

Original prediction

Junior

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 12:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.6057.9%47.9%-10.1 pts
Draw3.8823.9%27.0%3.1 pts
Away5.1218.1%25.1%7.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.88 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-10.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.1–011%
  3. 3.2–010%

Predicted outcome

Junior

Probability

47.9%

Model confidence

47.9%

Junior has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

JuniorLLWWL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Internacional de BogotaDDLLW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
JuniorInternacional de Bogota
50.0Attack41.2
55.6Defence48.0
49.1Form40.2
52.7Power45.1
1.71xG0.98
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