Juniorvs
Independiente Medellin
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 9/27/2026, 1:20:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Junior · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Junior 2-0 Independiente Medellin
Original prediction
Junior
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.39 | 38.6% | 37.0% | -1.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 28.5% | 29.6% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.81 | 32.9% | 33.4% | 0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Junior
Probability
37.0%
Model confidence
37.0%
Junior has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20