Juniorvs
Deportivo Pereira
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 10/14/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Junior · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Junior 1-0 Deportivo Pereira, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Junior 1-1 Deportivo Pereira
Original prediction
Junior
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.31 | 71.1% | 56.2% | -14.8 pts |
| Draw | 5.04 | 18.4% | 24.7% | 6.3 pts |
| Away | 8.83 | 10.5% | 19.1% | 8.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 4.04 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.8 pts
Projected Score
Junior 1–0 Deportivo Pereira
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Junior
Probability
56.2%
Model confidence
56.2%
Junior has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
JuniorDLLWW
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Deportivo PereiraDLLDD
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
JuniorDeportivo Pereira
50.5Attack23.7
55.0Defence47.3
48.6Form20.4
52.5Power33.4
1.81xG0.56