Jubilo Iwatavs
Kawasaki Frontale
COMPLETEDJapan · J-League Cup · 10/14/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kawasaki Frontale · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Jubilo Iwata 0-4 Kawasaki Frontale
Original prediction
Kawasaki Frontale
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.21 | 21.6% | 35.7% | 14.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.68 | 24.8% | 28.0% | 3.2 pts |
| Away | 1.70 | 53.5% | 36.3% | -17.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.70 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Kawasaki Frontale
Probability
36.3%
Model confidence
36.3%
Kawasaki Frontale has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00