Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Llaneros · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (15%), 0-1 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Jaguares 1-0 Llaneros
Original prediction
Llaneros
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 07:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.87 | 32.1% | 31.4% | -0.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.24 | 28.5% | 29.7% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.35 | 39.4% | 38.9% | -0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–015%
- 2.1–115%
- 3.0–114%
Predicted outcome
Llaneros
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Llaneros has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
JaguaresLLWLL
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
LlanerosLWLLL
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
JaguaresLlaneros
36.4Attack32.4
38.4Defence60.8
28.3Form38.2
37.0Power46.0
0.89xG1.12