Jaguaresvs
Alianza Valledupar
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 9/27/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jaguares · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-1 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Jaguares 1-2 Alianza Valledupar
Original prediction
Jaguares
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.33 | 39.6% | 39.4% | -0.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.02 | 30.5% | 30.8% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.08 | 29.9% | 29.8% | -0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–015%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–114%
Predicted outcome
Jaguares
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Jaguares has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80