Internacional de Bogotavs
Once Caldas
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 10/4/2026, 9:05:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Once Caldas · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Internacional de Bogota 1-1 Once Caldas
Original prediction
Once Caldas
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 12:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.81 | 33.0% | 31.9% | -1.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.01 | 30.7% | 30.1% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.55 | 36.3% | 38.0% | 1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.01 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Once Caldas
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
Once Caldas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20