Internacional de Bogotavs
Fortaleza FC
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 10/20/2026, 11:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Internacional de Bogota · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Internacional de Bogota 2-1 Fortaleza FC
Original prediction
Internacional de Bogota
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.28 | 40.6% | 42.5% | 1.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.24 | 28.5% | 26.4% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.99 | 30.9% | 31.1% | 0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.28 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Internacional de Bogota
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
Internacional de Bogota has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80