Internacional de Bogotavs
Deportivo Pasto
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 8/28/2026, 1:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Internacional de Bogota · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Internacional de Bogota 1-1 Deportivo Pasto
Original prediction
Internacional de Bogota
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.75 | 53.2% | 43.4% | -9.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 27.9% | 25.6% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 4.89 | 19.0% | 31.1% | 12.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.33 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–09%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Internacional de Bogota
Probability
43.4%
Model confidence
43.4%
Internacional de Bogota has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40