Internacional de Bogotavs
Atletico Nacional
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 9/17/2026, 1:20:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Nacional · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Internacional de Bogota 2-3 Atletico Nacional
Original prediction
Atletico Nacional
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 12:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.55 | 20.3% | 13.3% | -7.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 26.6% | 20.1% | -6.5 pts |
| Away | 1.75 | 53.0% | 66.5% | 13.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.75 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–214%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Atletico Nacional
Probability
66.5%
Model confidence
66.5%
Atletico Nacional has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60