Independiente Medellinvs
Llaneros
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 8/30/2026, 9:10:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Independiente Medellin · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Independiente Medellin 0-0 Llaneros, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Independiente Medellin 2-1 Llaneros
Original prediction
Independiente Medellin
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.53 | 60.8% | 48.5% | -12.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.91 | 23.8% | 28.3% | 4.5 pts |
| Away | 6.06 | 15.4% | 23.2% | 7.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.53 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.3 pts
Projected Score
Independiente Medellin 0–0 Llaneros
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Independiente Medellin
Probability
48.5%
Model confidence
48.5%
Independiente Medellin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00