GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 8/30/2026, 9:10:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente Medellin · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Independiente Medellin are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Llaneros are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente Medellin hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (55.9 v 50.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.1% in the Primera A, while Independiente Medellin holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente Medellin

Probability

41.7%

Model confidence

17.1%

Independiente Medellin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independiente MedellinWWLWD

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
LlanerosWDWWW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Independiente MedellinLlaneros
50.0Attack33.3
57.6Defence66.7
53.0Form43.9
55.9Power50.1
1.09xG0.76
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