GGOALVIO

HHC logoHHCvsBarendrecht logoBarendrecht

COMPLETED

Netherlands · KNVB Beker · 9/22/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

HHC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

HHC 0-1 Barendrecht

Original prediction

HHC

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5558.7%49.1%-9.6 pts
Draw3.9922.8%23.8%1.1 pts
Away4.9018.5%27.1%8.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-9.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–18%
  2. 2.1–18%
  3. 3.2–27%

Predicted outcome

HHC

Probability

49.1%

Model confidence

49.1%

HHC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HHCLDDWW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
BarendrechtDDWLW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
HHCBarendrecht
66.7Attack66.7
50.0Defence0.0
50.0Form50.0
56.2Power42.7
2.44xG1.71
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