Telstarvs
Almere City FC
SCHEDULEDNetherlands · KNVB Beker · 10/27/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Telstar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.02 | 45.5% | 41.1% | -4.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 25.1% | 26.2% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 3.13 | 29.4% | 32.7% | 3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Telstar
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Telstar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TelstarLLDLD
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Almere City FCLLWWL
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
TelstarAlmere City FC
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
2.03xG1.73