GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 12/5/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hanworth Villa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hanworth Villa are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Malvern Town are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Hanworth Villa hold a 56.2-point power-rating edge (86.5 v 30.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.9% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Hanworth Villa holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hanworth Villa

Probability

55.9%

Model confidence

55.9%

Hanworth Villa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hanworth VillaLWWWW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Malvern TownDLDLL

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Hanworth VillaMalvern Town
50.0Attack66.7
100.0Defence0.0
100.0Form16.7
86.5Power30.3
2.17xG1.19
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