Hanworth Villavs
Gloucester City
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hanworth Villa · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 3-0 (11%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hanworth Villa 1-3 Gloucester City
Original prediction
Hanworth Villa
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.37 | 38.3% | 58.8% | 20.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 26.0% | 20.9% | -5.0 pts |
| Away | 2.54 | 35.7% | 20.3% | -15.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
20.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.3–011%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Hanworth Villa
Probability
58.8%
Model confidence
58.8%
Hanworth Villa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40