Águilas Doradasvs
Jaguares
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 10/3/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Águilas Doradas · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Águilas Doradas 2-0 Jaguares
Original prediction
Águilas Doradas
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.49 | 62.3% | 46.1% | -16.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.11 | 22.6% | 28.2% | 5.6 pts |
| Away | 6.19 | 15.0% | 25.7% | 10.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.49 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Águilas Doradas
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
46.1%
Águilas Doradas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20