Águilas Doradasvs
Deportivo Pereira
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 9/18/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Águilas Doradas · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Águilas Doradas 1-0 Deportivo Pereira, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Águilas Doradas 2-2 Deportivo Pereira
Original prediction
Águilas Doradas
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.38 | 67.5% | 61.1% | -6.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.44 | 20.9% | 24.5% | 3.6 pts |
| Away | 7.96 | 11.7% | 14.4% | 2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.44 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.3 pts
Projected Score
Águilas Doradas 1–0 Deportivo Pereira
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Águilas Doradas
Probability
61.1%
Model confidence
61.1%
Águilas Doradas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40