Águilas Doradasvs
Deportes Tolima
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 10/18/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportes Tolima · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Águilas Doradas 0-0 Deportes Tolima, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Águilas Doradas 2-1 Deportes Tolima
Original prediction
Deportes Tolima
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.82 | 32.7% | 29.0% | -3.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.10 | 29.8% | 29.1% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.46 | 37.5% | 41.9% | 4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.4 pts
Projected Score
Águilas Doradas 0–0 Deportes Tolima
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Deportes Tolima
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Deportes Tolima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20