GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 8/30/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Águilas Doradas · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Águilas Doradas 1-0 Chico, with an exact score probability of 18%.

Prediction record

Final result

Águilas Doradas 2-2 Chico

Original prediction

Águilas Doradas

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5759.6%63.9%4.3 pts
Draw3.7025.2%23.4%-1.8 pts
Away6.1215.2%12.7%-2.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.70 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

4.3 pts

Projected Score

Águilas Doradas 1–0 Chico

Exact score probability: 18%

Predicted outcome

Águilas Doradas

Probability

63.9%

Model confidence

63.9%

Águilas Doradas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Águilas DoradasDDWWD

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
ChicoDLLLL

GF 0 · GA 11 · avg 0.00/2.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Águilas DoradasChico
37.7Attack21.7
58.0Defence39.1
49.3Form26.1
51.2Power30.6
1.56xG0.52
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