Guadalupe FCvs
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC
COMPLETEDCosta-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 9/27/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (14%), 0-1 (13%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Guadalupe FC 2-2 Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC
Original prediction
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.83 | 48.8% | 27.7% | -21.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 26.0% | 25.2% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.53 | 25.2% | 47.1% | 21.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.43 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
21.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–214%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC
Probability
47.1%
Model confidence
47.1%
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00