Guadalupe FCvs
CS Uruguay
COMPLETEDCosta-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 9/6/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guadalupe FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Guadalupe FC 0-1 CS Uruguay
Original prediction
Guadalupe FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.69 | 52.3% | 47.1% | -5.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 25.3% | 26.3% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.96 | 22.3% | 26.6% | 4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Guadalupe FC
Probability
47.1%
Model confidence
47.1%
Guadalupe FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60