Guadalupe FCvs
Cariari Pococi
COMPLETEDCosta-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 10/17/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guadalupe FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Guadalupe FC 0-0 Cariari Pococi, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Guadalupe FC 1-0 Cariari Pococi
Original prediction
Guadalupe FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 12:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.91 | 47.0% | 35.9% | -11.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.3% | 28.7% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 3.35 | 26.7% | 35.4% | 8.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.91 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.1 pts
Projected Score
Guadalupe FC 0–0 Cariari Pococi
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Guadalupe FC
Probability
35.9%
Model confidence
35.9%
Guadalupe FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00