GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 8/23/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Guadalupe FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Guadalupe FC are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.00 conceded, while AD Carmelita are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and guadalupe FC hold a 35.0-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Liga de Ascenso, favouring Guadalupe FC with 11.5% confidence, a 60% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Guadalupe FC

Probability

51.6%

Model confidence

11.5%

Guadalupe FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Guadalupe FCWLLWL

GF 3 · GA 15 · avg 0.60/3.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
AD CarmelitaLDDDL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Guadalupe FCAD Carmelita
66.7Attack66.7
66.7Defence33.3
100.0Form33.3
80.3Power45.3
1.89xG1.21
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