Gosport Boroughvs
Bracknell Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 9/30/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gosport Borough · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gosport Borough 1-1 Bracknell Town
Original prediction
Gosport Borough
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 16 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.02 | 44.9% | 57.7% | 12.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 24.8% | 21.6% | -3.2 pts |
| Away | 2.98 | 30.3% | 20.8% | -9.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.66 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.1–111%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Gosport Borough
Probability
57.7%
Model confidence
57.7%
Gosport Borough has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20